WASHINGTON – With a year until the next election, Democratic freshmen in three competitive Arizona congressional districts are stockpiling cash for their re-election bids, according to the latest campaign-finance reports.
The Federal Election Commission said Reps. Kyrsten Sinema, Ron Barber and Ann Kirkpatrick had each raised at least $280,000 between July 1 and Sept. 30. No other member of the state’s congressional delegation raised even half that amount during the period.
While they raised more, the three also had more cash on hand than most of the rest of the delegation: Sinema had $781,602 on hand, Barber $767,204, and Kirkpatrick had $652,652 in the bank.
Only Rep. Ed Pastor, a Democrat representing the Phoenix area, had more campaign cash on hand, reporting $1.3 million in the bank as of Sept. 30.
“Having cash in hand is always a good thing,” said Barbara Norrander, a professor from the University of Arizona’s School of Government and Public Policy.
Sinema’s, Kirkpatrick’s and Barber’s districts have been targeted by the national Republican Party, and all three have been described as “seats in play” by the Rothenberg Political Report.
“The Republicans identify Kirkpatrick, Sinema and Barber as vulnerable,” said Ruth Jones, a professor at Arizona State University’s School of Politics and Global Studies.
All three already have legitimate challengers. Barber, in particular, was outraised in the quarter by Republican Martha McSally, who is seeking a rematch for the Tucson-based seat after narrowly losing to Barber in 2012. McSally reported raising $349,164 in the third quarter, more than any other challenger or any incumbent in the delegation.
“It means McSally is a credible challenger,” Norrander said of the fundraising. “She is facing an uphill battle, and she has to raise more than the incumbent.”
But while McSally raised more, Barber still had almost twice as much cash on hand at the end of the quarter, the FEC said.
“Representative Barber has been having three strong quarters in a row, but it is only McSally’s first quarter, and candidates always raise more money in the first quarter,” said DJ Quinlan, executive director of the Arizona Democratic Party.
But Arizona Republican Party spokesman Tim Sifert said the party has confidence in the “great and competitive candidates” it is already fielding for 2014.
“Arizona is a very Republican state,” Sifert said. “The Republican Party has a bigger advantage in voter registration and voter turnout.”
He pointed to the multiple Republican challengers in the districts. They include relatively recent candidates like radio talk-show host Ed Martin, who is running against Barber, and Arizona House Speaker Andy Tobin, who hopes to challenge Kirkpatrick.
Because both challengers only recently declared their campaigns, neither has fundraising that shows up yet with the FEC.
Democrats expect Tobin to raise a lot of money, Quinlan said, as he “is someone a lot of people want to be friend of in Washington, D.C., and with a lot of special interest,” said Quinlan.
Sinema also faces several Republican challengers for her Phoenix-area seat. They include Wendy Rogers – who raised just under $120,000 in the last quarter and had $272,828 on hand – former Arizona State quarterback Andrew Walter and 2012 GOP nominee Vernon Parker.
With so many Republican challengers, Quinlan sees an advantage for the Democrats.
“The three districts are moderate swing districts,” said Quinlan, who said challengers might go too far right in the primary to win in the general election.
And Jones said a harshly contested Republican primary could make it more difficult for the nominee to win the general election.
“It would be more costly to have a stronger primary election competition than to have a nominal one,” said Jones, who said challengers “need save enough money to go up against the Democrats.”
But Sifert said he is confident the party can unite behind its nominees after the primary and win in the general.