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Picks against the spread, over/under for notable Pac-12 football matchups this weekend

Picks against the spread, over/under for notable Pac-12 football matchups this weekend

  • Updated
No. 20 UCLA hosts Arizona State in pivotal Pac-12 matchup

Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) rolls out to throw a pass against Colorado during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept 25, 2021, in Tempe, Ariz.

The Arizona Wildcats are off this weekend, but that isn’t stopping the Star’s Michael Lev, Justin Spears and Alec White from making their weekly Pac-12 picks. 

The staff’s selections can be found below. You can also hear Lev and Spears break down this week’s top matchups on the latest episode of the Wildcast Podcast on Apple, Spotify or The Wildcaster App. 

Pac-12 matchups (Saturday, Oct. 2) 

USC @ Colorado (+7.5), 11 a.m., Pac-12 Networks 

Southern California quarterback Kedon Slovis (9) throws a pass during the second quarter of an NCAA college football game for the Pac-12 Conference championship Friday, Dec 18, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)

Lev: USC wins and covers 

Spears: USC wins and covers 

White: USC wins and covers 

Spears says: "USC did not look great last week against Oregon State, the first loss against the Beavers in the Coliseum in, what, 63 years? ... But Colorado has struggled big-time this year and just hasn't been good. ... I think this is a game where Kedon Slovis and USC's offense is flowing." 

Lev says: "Colorado is worse than Arizona on offense. They average 254 yards per game, 85 passing yards per game — less than 100 yards passing — and they're averaging 13.8 points. So, when you compare that to USC averaging 32.5 points, it's kind of hard not to pick USC. ... I don't trust Colorado at this point to score enough."  

No. 3 Oregon @ Stanford (+8), 12:30 p.m., ABC 

Oregon tight end Spencer Webb celebrates his touchdown with teammates Jaylon Redd and Mycah Pittman during the fourth quarter of Saturday’s win over Arizona.

Lev: Oregon wins, but Stanford covers 

Spears: Oregon wins and covers  

White: Oregon wins and covers 

Spears says: "I think they tripped up last weekend (against Arizona) and they won't allow something like that to happen again. The Ducks will be all-in on this game. Now, Stanford is much better than we initially thought. ... Stanford will keep it competitive, but Oregon will outlast them and eventually win the game by 10 points." 

Lev says: "I think Oregon is going to win, but it'll come down to maybe a field goal. You can say that maybe they were overlooking Arizona, they weren't totally mentally in it, maybe they were looking ahead to Stanford. ... This is a little bit of a Pac-12 North rivalry, so I think Stanford keeps it close against Oregon. It's going to take everything the Ducks have to survive. 

Washington State @ Cal (-7.5), 2:30 p.m., Pac-12 Networks 

Lev: Cal wins, but WSU covers 

Spears: Cal wins and covers 

White: Cal wins, but WSU covers 

Washington @ Oregon State (-2.5), 6 p.m., Pac-12 Networks 

Lev: Washington wins outright and covers 

Spears: Oregon State wins

White: Washington wins outright and covers 

Arizona State at No. 20 UCLA (-3), 7:30 p.m., FS1 

UCLA wide receiver Kyle Philips (2) celebrates after catching a pass for a touchdown in front of Stanford safety Kendall Williamson (21) during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 25, 2021, in Stanford, Calif. UCLA won 35-24.

Lev: UCLA wins and covers 

Spears: UCLA wins and covers 

White: UCLA wins and covers 

Spears says: "If I'm a betting man, I'm avoiding this game as much as possible, because this is such a tough game to pick. UCLA has a very dynamic offense with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Chip Kelly has this program exactly where he wants it. I know they tripped up against Fresno State earlier this season, but they were great against LSU earlier. UCLA has been very consistent outside of that one loss, so I think UCLA will win." 

Lev says: "This is a sneaky good game and it caps the really good Saturday of college football. It's a really important game in the Pac-12 South that could decide the Pac-12 South race or at least give one of these two teams a big leg up. They're both very similar teams. They both can run the ball, have quarterbacks who can make plays and have veteran defenses with tons of seniors and experienced players on that side of the ball. ... I think UCLA's one loss was kind of fluky." 

Season standings: 

Lev: 7-6 straight up, 8-5 against the spread, 1-3 picking the over/under 

Spears: 7-6 SU, 9-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U 

White: 8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS, 2-2 O/U 

Contact sports producer Justin Spears at 573-4312 or jspears@tucson.com. On Twitter: @JustinESports


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