PARIS — For quite some time, there's usually been a sense of certainty at the French Open.
That was particularly so on the men's side, with Rafael Nadal ruling over the red clay of Roland-Garros the way no one dominated any tournament in tennis history. He would go there, he would win nearly every match he played — how's 112-4 for a career record? — and he would head home with another trophy, 14 in all.
Spain's Rafael Nadal bites the trophy June 5, 2022, after winning the final match against Norway's Casper Ruud in three sets, 6-3, 6-3, 6-0, at the French Open tennis tournament in Roland Garros stadium in Paris, France.
Simultaneously simple and spectacular. So, too, albeit over a much shorter span, is Iga Swiatek's recent control over the women's event, claiming four of five championships, including the past three.
Now, as play begins Sunday, things are less clear, and not just because the 38-year-old Nadal is no longer competing and will be honored that day at Court Philippe-Chatrier. The owner of 22 Grand Slam titles retired last season, playing for the final time at the Davis Cup. His final French Open ended with a loss to Alexander Zverev last May and his final Roland-Garros appearance ended with an exit in singles against Novak Djokovic at the Summer Olympics, followed by an exit in doubles alongside Carlos Alcaraz.
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Titleholder Carlos Alcaraz of Spain speaks Thursday during the draw of French Open tennis tournament while PSG soccer player Ousmane Dembele looks on at the Roland Garros stadium in Paris.
There could be some new champions at the French Open
"Will it be very interesting? I think so," said Grigor Dimitrov, a quarterfinalist at last year's French Open and previously a semifinalist at the other majors. "Could we see potentially some different winners and different results? Absolutely."
He was speaking specifically about the men's bracket. But he could have been talking about the women, too.
"There's … 20 different people that you wouldn't be surprised if they end up winning the tournament," said Madison Keys, the American whose first Slam trophy arrived at the Australian Open in January. "Part of it is because we've kind of lost some of our legends, obviously. Like, there's no longer Serena Williams in every draw, where you just assume she's going to win."
Swiatek, 23, did hold that status for a while but she's been through a trying spell since last year's triumph in Paris. Not only hasn't she lifted a trophy since then, but she hasn't reached a final — and even clay presents problems. She was eliminated by Danielle Collins in her second match at the Italian Open, after a 6-1, 6-1 loss to 2023 U.S. Open winner Coco Gauff at the Madrid Open, where she also dropped a 6-0 set to Keys.
That's to say nothing of the off-court matter of a doping case in which Swiatek essentially was cleared but did serve an oddly timed suspension.
Title holder Iga Swiatek of Poland speaks Thursday during the draw of French Open tennis tournament at the Roland Garros stadium in Paris.
Doping cases involving Swiatek and Jannik Sinner
Doping is a big topic in tennis lately, in large part because of what happened with former No. 1 Swiatek — she's now down to No. 5, behind Aryna Sabalenka, Gauff, Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini — and men's No. 1 Jannik Sinner, who served his own, much-scrutinized, three-month ban.
The deal he worked out with the World Anti-Doping Agency after it appealed the 23-year-old Italian's original exoneration allowed Sinner to play at the Australian Open, where he earned his third title in the past five majors, then return to competition at the Italian Open, where he was the runner-up to Alcaraz.
So Sinner is in the mix at the French Open, but a notch below defending champion Alcaraz, who dealt with muscle issues in both legs recently before looking in Rome like he is back to his best. Still, he's not a lock the way Nadal was, while three-time major finalist Alexander Zverev is as inconsistent as possible lately, and 24-time Slam champ Djokovic ended a three-match losing streak this week at the Geneva Open tune-up event.
No Nadal in Paris, and a 'new reality' for Djokovic
"Kind of new reality for me, I have to say. You know, trying to win a match or two, not really thinking about getting far in the tournament. It's a completely different feeling from what I had in 20-plus years of professional tennis, so it's kind of a challenge for me, mentally, to really face these kind of sensations on the court, going out early now, regularly," Djokovic said after an opening exit in Madrid.
"But that's, I guess, the circle of life and the career. Eventually, it was going to happen. … Grand Slams is where I really want to play the best tennis," he added. "I'm not sure if I'll be able to do that in Roland-Garros, but I'll do my best."
For a change, no one can be sure what's to come in Paris.
Photos: Serena Williams through the years
Serena Williams of United States, right, and Julie Halard-Ducgis of France, on the winners' podium, hold their trophies during the award presentation of Toyota Princess Cup Womens Tennis in Tokyo, Sunday, Oct 8, 2000. Williams beat Halard-Cucgis to win the first place and the French player took the second. (AP Photo/Junji Kurokawa)
Venus, left, and Serena Williams hold their trophy after defeating Japan's Ai Sugiyama and Julie Halard Decugis of France, in the Women's Doubles final on Centre Court at Wimbledon Monday, July 10, 2000. (AP Photo/Dave Caulkin)
Holding her racket with broken strings, U.S. tennis player Serena Williams bursts out in joy after beating Belgiums' Justine Henin 6-3, 7-6 in their quarter final match of the womens WTA tennis world championship in the Oympic hall in Munich, southern Germany, Friday, Nov. 2, 2001. (AP Photo/Diether Endlicher)
Serena Williams, left, and her mother, Oracene, watch Venus Williams plays fellow American Kristina Brandi in their second round match at the Australian Open tennis championships in Melbourne, Wednesday, Jan 16, 2002. Williams won the match 6-3, 6-4. Serena, seeded fifth, withdrew before her opening match Monday with an injured ankle. (AP Photo/Rick Rycroft)
American Serena Williams returns a backhand to Slovakia's Martina Sucha during their first round match of the French Open tennis tournament Wednesday May 29, 2002 in Paris. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)
Serena Williams, right, hugs her sister Venus after winning the women's final of the French Open tennis tournament at Roland Garros stadium in Paris Saturday June 8, 2002. Serena Williams defeated her sister Venus 7-5, 6-3.(AP Photo/Christophe Ena)
Serena, left, and Venus Williams hold their trophies after winning the Women's Doubles championship on the Centre Court at Wimbledon Sunday, July 7, 2002. The sisters defeated Virginia Ruano Pascual of Spain and Paola Suarez of Argentina to win the championship. (AP Photo/Dave Caulkin)
Serena Williams of the U.S. reacts during her fourth round match against Serbia's Jelena Jankovic at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne, Sunday, Jan. 21, 2007.Williams won in straight sets 6-3 6-2. (AP Photo/Rick Stevens)
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson, left, and Serena Williams present the award for record breaking performance at the 15th annual ESPY Awards on Wednesday, July 11, 2007, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
U.S. Serena Williams listens to a journalists question during a press conference after retiring with an injury on her right leg during the Madrid Open Tennis against Francesca Schiavone from Italy in the Caja Magica in Madrid, Monday May 11, 2009.(AP Photo/Daniel Ochoa de Olza)
Venus Williams, right, and her sister Serena pose for the cameras at Eastbourne, Monday June 16, 1997 during the Direct Line Ladies Tennis Championships. Williams wanted as much grass-court play as possible before Wimbledon. She's getting it. Williams, the 16-year-old American preparing for her first appearance at the All England Club, turned down a wild card at the Eastbourne tournament in order to play in the qualifying rounds. (AP Photo/str)
Venus Williams, left, and sister Serena raise their arms after their center court match at the Australian Open Tennis Championships in Melbourne, Australia, Wednesday, January 21, 1998. Venus won the match 7-6, 6-1. (AP Photo/Rick Stevens)
Venus Williams, left, and her sister Serena Williams share a light moment during their doubles tennis match against Els Callens of Belgium and Rita Grande of Italy at the French Open at Roland Garros stadium in Paris Wednesday, June 2, 1999. (AP Photo/Laurent Rebours)
Serena Williams of the U.S., left, warms up on a practice court as her father Richard Williams looks on, before her second round single tennis match at the Eastbourne International grass court tournament in Eastbourne, England, Wednesday, June 15, 2011. (AP Photo/Sang Tan)
Serena Williams of the US prepares to serve during the match against Romania's Simona Halep at the All England Lawn Tennis Championships at Wimbledon, Thursday, June 23, 2011. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
Serena Williams, of the United States, yells as she charges the net for a return against Yaroslava Shvedova, of Kazakhstan, during the third round of the 2013 U.S. Open tennis tournament, Saturday, Aug. 31, 2013, in New York. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
U.S tennis players and sister's Venus, and Serena Williams, right, arrive for the Pre-Wimbledon Party, at Kensington Roof Gardens in west London, Thursday June 21, 2012. (AP Photo/Joel Ryan)
Serena Williams of the United States, right, embraces her father Richard Williams, center, as her sister Venus looks on, after she defeated Agnieszka Radwanska of Poland to win the women's final match at the All England Lawn Tennis Championships at Wimbledon, England, Saturday, July 7, 2012. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
Serena Williams reacts after a point against Bethanie Mattek-Sands during the third round of the U.S. Open tennis tournament, Friday, Sept. 4, 2015, in New York. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
Serena Williams, of the U.S, celebrates as she defeats Russia's Maria Sharapova during the Women's final match of the French Open tennis tournament at the Roland Garros stadium Saturday, June 8, 2013 in Paris. Williams won 6-4, 6-4. (AP Photo/David Vincent)
Serena Williams looks up during a match against Coco Vandeweghe at the U.S. Open tennis tournament, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012, in New York. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
Serena Williams holds the championship trophy after beating Victoria Azarenka, of Belarus, in the championship match at the 2012 US Open tennis tournament, Sunday, Sept. 9, 2012, in New York. Two points from defeat, Williams suddenly regained her composure to come back and win the last four games, beating No. 1-ranked Azarenka 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 on Sunday for her fourth U.S. Open title and 15th Grand Slam title overall. (AP Photo/Mike Groll)
Serena Williams of U.S. holds up her winning trophy as she poses with the ball boys and girls after the final of the China Open tennis tournament at the National Tennis Stadium in Beijing, China, Sunday, Oct. 6, 2013. Williams defeated Jelena Jankovic of Serbia 6-2, 6-2. (AP Photo/Andy Wong)
Serena Williams of the United States plays a forehand return to Maria Sharapova of Russia during their quarterfinal match at the Australian Open tennis championships in Melbourne, Australia, Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016.(AP Photo/Vincent Thian)
Serena Williams returns the ball to Simona Halep, of Romania, during a final match at the Western & Southern Open tennis tournament, Sunday, Aug. 23, 2015, in Mason, Ohio. Williams defeated Halep 6-3, 7-6 (5). (AP Photo/John Minchillo)
Serena Williams speaks during a press conferene at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York, Thursday, Aug. 27, 2015. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens)
Serena Williams of the Philippine Mavericks serves against Ana Ivanovic of Serbia during the women's singles match in the 2015 International Premier Tennis League (IPTL) Sunday, Dec. 6, 2015 at the Mall of Asia Arena at suburban Pasay city south of Manila, Philippines. Williams won the match 6-3.(AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)
Serena Williams of the U.S. serves the ball in the semifinal match of the French Open tennis tournament against Netherlands' Kiki Bertens at the Roland Garros stadium in Paris, France, Friday, June 3, 2016. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
Serena Williams of the U.S. holds the trophy after defeating Russia's Maria Sharapova in two sets 6-4, 6-4, in the women's final of the French Open tennis tournament, at Roland Garros stadium in Paris, Saturday June 8, 2013. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)
Serena Williams of the United States serves to Vesna Dolonc of Serbia during their second round match at the Australian Open tennis championship in Melbourne, Australia, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2014.(AP Photo/Aaron Favila)
Serena Williams of the U.S. celebrates upon beating Maria Sharapova of Russia 6-2, 7-6 in their semifinal match during the Brisbane International tennis tournament in Brisbane, Australia, Friday, Jan. 3, 2014. (AP Photo/Tertius Pickard)

