Arizona has reached the same number of fatal aircraft crashes and fatalities this year that it saw in all of 2025, with 10 people killed over five incidents, according to data from the Federal Aviation Administration and National Transportation Safety Board.
Three people died in two plane crashes within the same period in 2025, according to federal data.
Arizona has also seen a spike in total aircraft crashes, with 26 crashes as of April 21 in 2026 — more than double the 12 for the same period in 2025, according to the data.
While the spike in fatal crashes can appear jarring at first, the accident rate involving aircraft is quite consistent, according to NTSB spokesperson Peter Knudson.
"This is the tyranny of small numbers, as they say," Knudson said, referring to a cognitive bias where people glean imaginary patterns from small amounts of data. "And fortunately, these are small numbers if you consider the number of accidents relative to the number of flight operations."
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Knudson noted that certain factors, such as adverse weather conditions, can slightly increase the likelihood of an incident occurring. But accidents, like any data, have the potential to cluster for no reason in particular.
"They can cluster in a location, and they can cluster in time," Knudson said. "And sometimes they can cluster in time and location, and that's like, 'whoa, what's going on?'"

