The Culture Edit: June 1

But aren’t they revivals? Yup. When there isn’t a game-changer like “Hamilton,” revivals are often a safe bet.  

And this year? Only six new musicals premiered. The four nominated for Tony’s Best Musical had different routes to success. “Titanique” began in California, moved to basement theaters in New York, landed off-Broadway, then went to London, where it won an Olivier Award. Now, it’s on Broadway. It’s a spoof. As is “Schmigadoon,” which began as a series on Apple TV+. “Lost Boys” is based on the 1980s movie and “Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)” is a two-person show that started in London.

You can see why investors want something a bit more guaranteed. And that’s where revivals come in. “Ragtime” is up against “Cats: The Jellicle Ball” and “The Rocky Horror Show.” If you’re going to plunk down $100-plus for a ticket, you want assurance.

So what about those making shows? What do they bet on? 

If you look at past Tony nominees and wins, you can see trends. “Death of a Salesman” is about as guaranteed as they get. It won Best Play in 1949, then won Best Revival in 1984, 1999 and 2012. This year it’s likely to win again. 

Willy Loman, its leading character, is practically a Tony nomination guarantee. Five actors have been nominated for playing the role. This year, Nathan Lane is in the mix. Laurie Metcalf is nominated this year, too, as Linda Loman. Her role is equally Tony-able. 

Upshot? When it comes to the Tony Awards, a sure thing can be a sure thing.

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