AccuWeather has released its annual summer weather predictions, giving Arizonans an idea of how the weather may look heading into June, July and August.
Overall, AccuWeather predicts extreme weather circumstances across the United States this summer, with some parts suffering drought and other parts experiencing flash flooding.
According to AccuWeather, Arizona will have a wet and hot summer, even putting the state at a low to moderate risk of flooding at times, which could also improve the drought across the state.
Much of Arizona will have a wet and hot summer, a statewide forecast prediction by AccuWeather says.
Here's an in-depth look at Arizona's summer weather according to AccuWeather.
When is summer?
Summer officially starts Sunday, June 21, 2026.
Will it be hotter this summer in Arizona?
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Overall, AccuWeather predicts most of the United States will have temperatures above historical highs.
In Arizona, the north, northwest and southwest parts of the state will receive temperatures 1 to 2 degrees above the historical average, according to AccuWeather. The rest of the state can expect temperatures close to historical averages.
However, Arizonans can expect summer weather to start early, with peak temperatures as early as June or July across the state, according to AccuWeather.
Will it rain this summer in Arizona?
According to AccuWeather, Arizona should expect a hot and wet summer; nearly the whole state should expect 150% of normal precipitation, except for the northeast corner of the state.
High precipitation will also lead to an improvement in Arizona's drought across the whole state, according to AccuWeather. Yet, AccuWeather notes there is still a chance of drought in the northeast part of Arizona.
The southwestern quarter of the state was at "some risk of flooding, and the rest of the state was at a 'moderate' risk," according to AccuWeather.
How does AccuWeather make its predictions?
AccuWeather uses databases around the world to collect weather forecasts in real time, then digitally processes the data to collect trends of weather happening in certain areas historically, according to the company.
By using this process to collect data for the past 30 years and pairing it with meteorological insight, AccuWeather says it is able to give accurate long-range weather predictions.
Photos: Monsoon 2025 in Tucson
An monsoon storm cell throws down a bolt near midtown just after sundown, part of a series of storms that ran mostly to south and east, September 25, 2025, Tucson, Ariz.
A lightning bolt hits just east of downtown one of a series of intense storms that skirted most of the city, September 25, 2025, Tucson, Ariz.
Foot traffic along Congress Street moves under a red monsoon sky as dusk settles over Hotel Congress and downtown Tucson, Ariz., July 18, 2025.
A pedestrian walks by along Church Avenue at Alameda Street with the sun going down after a monsoon storm skirted along the far eastern edge of Tucson, Ariz., before quickly dying out, July 8, 2025.
Kids take a ride on playground equipment at Joaquin Murrieta Park in Tucson, Ariz. under clouds that moved in early in the evening on June 30, 2025.
The last time rain was recorded at Tucson’s airport — the official location for weather data here — was .1-inches on July 22. This year’s monsoon has officially dropped less than two inches of rain since June 1, the start of the city’s monsoon period.
Garrett Asher uses an umbrella to shield himself from the rain during a visit at Reid Park Zoo, 3400 East Zoo Court, Tucson, Ariz., July 16, 2025.
A truck drives through flooded streets as heavy rain showers hit the city of Tucson, West Fort Lowell Road, Tucson, Ariz., July 3, 2025.
Petra Thompson uses a garbage bag to protect her hair from a monsoon storm that rolled over the westside in Tucson, Ariz. on July 2, 2025. Thompson said she her just done her hair and wanted to keep it dry as she crossed Grande Ave at St. Mary’s Road.
Guests explore Reid Park Zoo as rainfall continues through Southern Arizona, 3400 East Zoo Court, Tucson, Ariz., July 16, 2025.
A pedestrian picks his way over the pool gathered in the gutters of Stone Avenue and Pennington Street as rain from the first monsoon storm of the season drops on Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
A City of Tucson bus rider tries to keep dry as heavy rain and hail hit the city, Oracle and Fort Lowell stop, July 3, 2025.
A cyclists maneuvers through the puddles flooding the bike lane along Stone Avenue as the year’s first monsoon storm drops rain on Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
People exit Reid Park Zoo as rainfall continues through Southern Arizona, 3400 East Zoo Court, Tucson, Ariz., July 16, 2025.
The "Balancing Act” sculpture poses underneath the dark cloudy skies as rain showers pass through Southern Arizona, 4502 North First Avenue, Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
Traffic moves along St. Mary’s Road as the first monsoon hits the westside of Tucson, Ariz. on July 2, 2025.
A pedestrian braves the rain, walking along Church Avenue at Pennington Street in the first monsoon storm of the season over Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
A man crosses Scott Avenue at Pennington Street with the rain falling on Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025, in the year’s first monsoon storm.
A pedestrian, equipped for the rain, makes his way along Congress Street in the first monsoon storm of the season over Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
A man waits for the bus as heavy showers begin to pour in Tucson, North Oracle Road, Tucson, Ariz., July 3, 2025.
Afternoon traffic continues down North Oracle Road, as heavy rain showers hit the city, July 3, 2025.
Dark storm clouds roll through Southern Arizona, North Oracle Road, Tucson, Ariz., July 2, 2025.
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